Quick math fun

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Dec 232009
 

Followup to yesterday’s post (stats stuff):

If the droprate for the Hilt is 0.25%(UPDATE: Now appears to be 0.1%), and all mobs drop it at that same rate, then you have X chance of seeing it at least once after Y kills:

  • 50%: 277 693
  • 75%: 554 1386
  • 90%: 920 2301
  • 95%: 1197 2995
  • 99%: 1840 4600

To put this in context, a full run of all three dungeons usually kills about ~100 mobs.

  38 Responses to “Quick math fun”

  1. According to Wowhead, the drop rate seems to be closer to 0.1%. This means that there is only a 63% chance to drop if you farm 1000mobs.

    http://www.wowhead.com/?item=50379#dropped-by:0-1+9+3-8

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